Selasa, 25 November 2008

Hot Stocks: Citgroup to Buy Back Billions in SIV Assets, May Face Another Write-Down


Embattled U.S. banking giant Citigroup Inc. (C) has agreed to buy back $17.4 billion of assets remaining in a series of funds known as structured investment vehicles, or SIVs, after it previously agreed to guarantee the liabilities in those funds.


In a separate story today (Wednesday), Wall Street banking analyst David Trone said that he expects higher credit costs and additional losses to force Citi to take $3 billion in write-downs in the year's final quarter, a realization that prompted him to boost his quarterly loss estimate for the company and cut his target price for the stock.


"The key question is whether management will be able to continue to find buyers for business units, which is necessary to fortify the capital base against further credit losses and write-downs," Trone, an analyst with Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochrane Caronia Waller, wrote in a research note to clients.


Fox-Pitt boosted its quarterly loss estimate for Citigroup from its prior projection of only 8 cents a share all the way to 79 cents a share. The brokerage then cut its profit estimate for 2009 from its earlier estimate of 69 cents per share all the way down to 28 cents, Reuters reported.


Trone, who rates Citi shares as performing "In Line" with the general market, cut his target price on the shares from $20 to $16. From Tuesday's closing price of $8.36 a share, even that lower target price would represent a return of 91%.


Worries about Citigroup's problem assets will continue to weigh down investor confidence, Trone wrote. Thus, while Citi is definitely a "cheap" stock by one key measure, it isn't necessarily a bargain.


"Citi trades below tangible book, although we believe this is at risk given still-large problem asset exposures," Trone wrote.


Citigroup's shares have traded as high as $35.29 in the past 52 weeks. Its market capitalization (market cap) - the actual value of a publicly traded company - has plunged from $195 billion at the stock's 52-week high to just under $41 billion today.


A new report states that Citigroup has slipped to the fifth-largest U.S. bank by market value, falling behind U.S. Bancorp (USB). The top five are JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM), Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC), Bank of America Corp. (BAC), U.S. Bancorp and Citigroup. Less than two years ago, Citigroup was on top of that list.


As for the asset buyback, Citi said it's moving the structured investment vehicle assets into a portfolio of assets held for sale. The transfer allows the SIV funds to fully repay maturing debt obligations. It will be accounted for as a "cashless" transaction, since the funds were essentially already on Citi's balance sheet. In fact, the assets will be labeled as being "available for sale" basis, meaning changes in their value will affect the company's balance sheet equity - but not its earnings, Reuters reported.


Back in December, Citigroup agreed to support the SIVs, which at the time held roughly $49 billion of assets. At one point, the bank's SIVs were actually "off-balance-sheet" entities, holding roughly $100 billion in assets.


A SIV is a fund that borrows money by issuing short-term securities at a low interest rate and then lends that money by purchasing long-term securities at higher rates of interest. If managed correctly, fund investors can make a profit from the difference.


SIVs proliferated, and were in widespread use by investment banks and other financial institutions. But they ran aground when the credit crisis caused the demand for short-term bonds and commercial paper to evaporate. SIVs saw the value of their holding plummet, forcing institutions such as Citi - which had been operating the funds as off-balance-sheet funds - to prop them up with financial support.


This is the latest move Citigroup - one of the hardest-hit by the worldwide financial crisis - has been forced to make as it struggles to get back into the black. Citi has notched losses in each of the past four quarters, including a $2.8 billion loss in the third quarter, and has taken in excess of $40 billion in write-downs.


On Monday, Citi unveiled plans to cut more than 50,000 jobs in the "near term" and slash expenses by 20% to preserve capital as it faces a global slowdown that's expected to push well into 2009. The cuts are on top of the 23,000 jobs eliminated so far this year and are part of Chief Executive Officer Vikram Pandit's plans to whittle the bank's work force down to 300,000. By the time Pandit puts down the corporate-cost-cutting machete, he'll have lopped off about 20% of the company's work force.


At its peak at the end of 2007, Citigroup had a work force of 375,000.


Just last week, as Money Morning reported, Citigroup announced the release of 10,000 employees, and said it was boosting interest rates an average of 3% for about one-in-five of its credit card holders. by William (Bill) Patalon III

Sourcing Superstars: Neeraj Bhargava, WNS Global Services


WNS Global Services began life as a British Airways captive center in 1996; since then it's blossomed to become one of India's most successful BPO providers, and the country's first to list on the NYSE. Co-founder of WNS (Holdings) Ltd Neeraj Bhargava has been the firm's CEO since 2004, during which time he's seen his company expand to over 18,000 employees worldwide, generating annual revenues of over $450 billion. To launch our series of interviews with the heads of the world's key sourcing players, SSON got some words of wisdom from the man himself...

SSON: What have been the biggest changes to the outsourcing space while you've been involved?

Neeraj Bhargava: I've been involved in many ways with outsourcing for nearly two decades: the last eight years with WNS, and prior to that the bulk of my career was spent with McKinsey & Co where I worked with numerous IT services companies and other areas of outsourcing. If I were to look back at, especially, the last five years or so, there have been three big changes that have happened in the outsourcing space.

First of all it's no secret that it's truly turned global. We've seen the advances that have happened in communications technology and in general the rise of global trade and integration. People have got very comfortable running parts of their operations in other locations, which therefore resulted in the rise of India now, the rise of Ireland a bit earlier, as a key shared services or outsourcing location, and the increasing usage of locations like the Philippines: these are all things that have really accelerated significantly in the last five years. So outsourcing as a global phenomenon is a very big change.

The second big change is that it's become more widespread, with companies across different industries embracing the trend. About five years ago, it largely involved the financial services players and the telecoms players, and to an extent technology companies and the IT area who were the major early movers in outsourcing. Now multiple industries, multiple categories of trade - not just large companies - and quite often private equity companies - are playing a very big role in pushing their investee companies into outsourcing. So the trend is now widespread, and in some ways, the development of WNS as a company as we expand the industries that we address reflects the evolving trend in the market.

The last point is that outsourcing has become a very specialised industry, and therefore people who are successful in this area are very focused around doing this well. Our WNS clients are increasingly demanding more industry expertise coupled with operational expertise and therefore, like any other industry, as it starts to mature, people who are very specialised and can develop unique solutions for their clients are the ones who become very successful.

SSON: What do you see as your biggest challenges day to day?

NB: WNS has been fortunate to take advantage of opportunities that have allowed us to grow at around 40 per cent year on year, and even in a difficult economic market we foresee ourselves growing quite steadily over the next couple of years. If you just look at some pure numbers here we were just about a $15-million company in 2002; we finished last year with revenues in excess of $450 million. So it's just the level of growth that we've experienced and what we see going forward, our biggest challenge is in managing growth, preparing the company in the sense of having the right organisation, and the right capabilities to take advantage of the opportunities that are coming to us. And overall I think that we are at the early stages of outsourcing; there is much scope for creative outsourcing solutions and sourcing functions or processes that we have not tapped yet.

Recent studies by McKinsey & Co and some of our industry associations suggest that the relevant market is about $250 billion. Right now the market that we are tapping is barely $10-$15 billion, so we still have a long way to go. And the biggest challenge continues to be managing growth and preparing for what is coming.

SSON: Are you worried about the credit crunch?

NB: I think the credit crunch and what is possibly recession, high inflation, does create a difficult environment for our clients or our prospective clients. They're seeing a lot of dramatic changes in their business. That creates two issues simultaneously: first, the need to cut costs and focus on core business; and second, they perceive that need to be more acute. That is, in fact, very positive for our business. The flip-side to that is that there is also a lot more pressure on dealing with day-to-day issues, there will be more M&A activity, people have less money to spend on change: these are distractions that sometimes constrain them from taking outsourcing decisions. So it's a bit of a mixed bag.

But overall I think if you looked at what happened after the last recession, in the early part of this decade, that was very positive for us... So our view is that in general people have been a bit shell-shocked by the rapid changes in the economy, but at least in the US people have begun to understand that they need to make the rapid, sustainable change represented by outsourcing, so organizations are compelled to pursue a broader range of outsourcing options. We think that Europe is following the same pattern.

SSON: You have an increasingly diverse operation now and are growing rapidly year on year. Where do you see your next expansion taking place?

NB: Overall we've been very public about this: WNS will have a global footprint. In that context, what we've done so far is keep India as a very strong base for us but on top of that we've added more onshore operations in the UK, we've added Romanian capabilities, we've got capability in Sri Lanka, we recently completed a joint venture in the Philippines as well. This is a fairly diverse footprint already but there are three other missing pieces: we need a presence in Latin America, to deal with opportunities there as well as Spanish-language requirements in the US; we would be silly not to consider China as an important location to enter given all the opportunities that are there in that market; and last but not least is - as we've done in the UK for some specific operations - having some onshore operations in North America as well.

So we have three areas where we will fill in some gaps, but at this point in time, we're very focused that in the next twelve months our biggest priority is to ensure that our recent expansions in the Philippines and Romania gain scale rapidly, and we're focused on ensuring that these locations grow at the same rate as what we already have established in India, Sri Lanka, and the UK. Our sense is that the expansion into the other three geographies - which are imminent - will occur in the next fiscal year.

SSON: You mentioned Romania: why did you decide to go there?

NB: Romania presents a very rich opportunity for WNS to tap into a workforce who can work in all the four major European languages: Italian, French, German and Spanish. We find a very good population of professionals who can work in all those languages. So that was one point. The second is that the employee culture of those working in business services, coupled with the fact that there were some early movers who had set up shop there and whose experiences had been very positive, was positive, and to top it off, there are many parallels we found between the business culture in Romania and what has emerged in parts of India. We have been very impressed by what we see; it's a pretty important expansion for us, and it's the springboard for what we can do more broadly in continental Europe.

We don't rule out going into other countries because in general the pattern we've seen other outsourcers follow in Europe - which is something we feel is right - is that you don't need to build gigantic sites in one location, you probably need to establish a cluster of smaller sites. So Romania is not the only place we'll establish a location in Europe looking forward. But given important attributes, whether it's the availability of skills, the optimum ecosystem to develop operationally focused companies, in every dimension we felt that the best mix is present at this time in Romania and that's why we decided to go ahead with this location.

SSON: How do you differentiate yourselves from other BPO providers?

NB: I think one very important differentiation is that we're totally focused on running business operations. We compete with a number of global BPO providers who have a mix of BPO, IT and consulting; we do feel IT and consulting are important but for us they are not something we're pursuing as independent or large businesses, but they are capabilities we have to better deliver our BPO operations, so we have IT platforms that we've invested in, and in fact even acquired companies in the IT space; our sales process is very consultative in nature; but we're very sharply focused on being a BPO company, running business operations.

Our clients in general like our very sharp focus on their operations, not selling them systems implementations or consultancy that could stretch out their path to value from outsourcing. In fact, in one case one leading global outsourcing company that was very focused on ITO was an incumbent in a potential client and bidding for their BPO processes, but we actually managed to win because of our very much sharper focus on BPO delivery. So that's one big differentiation.

The second thing is the fact that we've leveraged offshore locations very, very aggressively for the last twelve years of the existence of the company. Our ability to run very high-quality operations offshore is often superior to what you see companies even much larger than us are able to do, because we're insiders, we've done this for a long time, we've got a good brand-name in places like India and Sri Lanka, and are able to hire the right talent and make them extremely productive. The ecosystem that we've built around our company is extremely strong, and our offshore capabilities help us stand out very clearly.

The last and very important point is that I think that when you run operations the culture you create is also extremely important. We're a very entrepreneurial company, very customer-friendly in terms of how we operate; we do believe that culture is an important competitive weapon for us in terms of adapting our ways of working to those of our clients, truly "extending their enterprise" as our tagline says. We are focused on ensuring that their operations - often hundreds or thousands of miles away from where they're based - are run in a manner in which delivery is very predictable; and we're really a very friendly company to work with. This may seem like fluff: but let me tell you the feedback we get all the time is that this company is a real pleasure to work with and in many ways that image helps us stand out.

SSON: What do you see as the boundary between BPO and KPO, and are you planning on moving into KPO in any big way?

NB: Well, actually we are among the largest KPO players worldwide, period. We invested in that business four or five years ago. Fifteen per cent of revenue comes from what is popularly known as KPO. We've made acquisitions in this area and have a very diverse business which encompasses every aspect of analytics from financial analytics through sales and marketing analytics to spend and purchasing-related analytics to more advanced FD&A work that we do for our finance and accounting clients. Our KPO practice now is over 1,500 people who are very deeply linked into our various industry practices. So if you were to look at what we've done there, WNS' KPO offering is clearly ahead of the market in terms of size, diversity of offering and industry. That's very big for us.

The reason we've been very successful there is that right from Day 1 when we physically land a client for BPO services we bring numerous analytic tools and other methodologies that we have developed over the years as the first tranche of the WNS value-add, with our KPO teams working very closely together with our BPO teams to add value. More recently, what we are experiencing is, as we add clients, instead of leading with BPO, we're leading with KPO and then cross-sell BPO services. We've been very successful with this approach.

SSON: Let's talk about India. India's dominance of the BPO space is looking pretty robust. Do you feel it to be unassailable?

NB: I think for the next five years India will remain a dominant offshoring location. If you look at pure demographics today, the sheer number of English-speaking graduates coming out of the ecosystem that was set up to develop BPO companies, gives companies a premier opportunity to scale up operations. And, interestingly, as the Indian economy is softening, the rupee is depreciating so some of the alarming situations we had around foreign exchange over the last twelve months have experienced relief.

Another point is that if you look at resourcing on a comparative basis, there's a lot of talk about resource crunch in India but I can't see any other country as being different in any way. We've got resource crunches in the Philippines, we've got resource crunches in Eastern Europe as well, wage inflation is universal, currency "tremors" exist everywhere: so what is different? So if you look at pure demographics, India stands to remain the dominant player in the next five years. China is very interesting because demographically they have many similar characteristics; however the lack of professional English-language capability is what has constrained the market. My sense is that China, with the growth of English-speaking schools there, over the next five to ten years could become very compelling: but I don't think it will happen within the next five years.

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Manage Spare Time To Achieve Ultimate Success


Power of Audios

Productivity and time Dan Kennedy Using your call as a classroom

I'm reading a book by Dan Kennedy right now called "No B.S. Time Management For Entrepreneurs The Ultimate No Holds Barred, Kick Butt, Take No Prisoners Guide To Time Productivity & Sanity"

The title is really long, but the book is quite good. It takes you into the world of Dan Kennedy, master marketer and teachers of Millionaires.

One of the things Dan Kennedy talks about was using 'non-productive' time, productively. He suggests you use time search as waiting in traffic, going on car rides, stuck in line etc. as learning time.

This of course means listening to Audio CD's or Mp3's with an Ipod or MP3 Player.

He goes on to say that the top masters and successful people he encountered all have been a student of Audio learning programs.

I myself highly recommend Audio learning programs. I remember back in the day when I was still commuting to work, I would have Anthony Robbins with me on those car rides.

I must of listened to Anthony Robbins audio programs, including, "Lessons in Mastery", "Live With Passion", "Get The Edge" and "Personal Power II" over and over again.

When I worked the night shift at a plastics factory, for 8 hour shifts, I had Anthony Robbins in my ear the whole time.

I could go through one of those audio series in one night.

If you commute to work, you'd be surprised how quickly you can get through these 6-7 CD sets. In one week, or two, you could finish an Audio Program.

Imagine reading 1 book a week, or in 2 weeks about a subject you want to learn more about. Without taking up any extra time or with barely any effort.

If you simply use your commute time for learning, you will be in great shape. What is a skill you want to learn?

You want to learn a new language? Want to fix your personal finance? Want to improve your business?

Repetition is the master of skill. You can listen to the same CD's over and over again until the lessons are ingrained in you.

Simply switching what you are listening to while you are commuting, in your car or in your spare time and you could change your life. by Quang

Business Loans: Time For You To Be Successful


If you dream to be a successful business but do not even have the required money to start your own new business then you should get the business loans. These will offer you each and everything that is required while setting the foundation of a business.

These loans will support and sponsor you in several things like:

 Buying land for the business  Building the office  Decorating your office with all the required things and furniture  Hiring man power  Buying raw materials and  In buying the required machines

Such things are very essential whether you are going to start a small or a big business. These are the basics of every business and you will not at all have to worry for affording these. Even these loans will help you in paying off your previous debts too. These are also very ideal for renewing the old and outdated businesses.

Based on your business plans and the required finance you can choose from the secured or unsecured loans. These loans are being made to cater to different types of borrowers. The secured loans are for the homeowners and these will be achievable only after you provide your valuable asset as collateral. Such security can be anything like your car, home or stocks and bonds. The rate of interest of these loans is very low and therefore, people find it quite burden-free.

The unsecured business loans are for those who cannot offer anything as collateral. The non-homeowners find it quite good to be adopted and then have their own small business. These are good for small businesses because the offered amount is small. However, the rate of interest of these loans is high and this is because no collateral is being placed. In such circumstance, if you want to avoid it then other loans can also be adopted. by Johns Tiel

P2P Funding. Alternative to banks


According to TechCrunch, peer to peer or p2p funding is gaining momenton despite the uncertainty in the current market trend. Instead of relying on comercial financial institution, banks or venture capitalist, users and would-be entreperneurs can register with these websites and tell everyone about their potential business. Interested parties can contact these users and start funding their businesses. Sound simple isn't it?(This article was originally posted on December 27, 2007.)

The beauty of p2p funding is that you can be a apart of something for a very small fees. With the help of internet, you can even invest and help people in places such as Boswana, Senegal or Iceland. According to an article from Stanford magazine, p2p funding is will be successful because with a small amount of cash you can help make a big different in someone else life

Guy Kawasaki, in his blogi have highlighted 6 points that we can learn from Kiva, one of the most successful, non-profit p2p funding organization. Here're his points;

1. Create meaningful partnerships. Most entrepreneurs create partnerships to impress investors, journalists, customers, and parents. Hence, most partnership as bull shiitake. The best test of a partnership is whether its existence requires that you change numbers in a spreadsheet. No changes = b.s. partnership. In the case of Kiva, it has sixty seven partnerships with micro-finance organizations. It is these organizations that provide the "leads" for lenders to fund.

Also, Kiva has partnerships with PayPal (free transactions), Google (free traffic) as well as with Yahoo!, Micorosft, MySpace, and YouTube. As you can imagine, these kinds of partnerships do make you reboot Excel.

2. Catalyze and support evangelism. Like Apple, Harley-Davidson, and Tivo, evangelism starts with a great product, and Kiva has one. When you have a great product, then evangelists will appear, and Kiva has 250 active volunteers—what I would label "evangelists." Kiva has really institutionalized evangelism if you ask me.

3. Find a business model. You'd be surprised how many people wave their hands or avoid the topic of business model completely. Kiva's model is a minimum $2.50 voluntary fee that lenders pay when checking out their "shopping cart." If I understand this right: lenders receive no interest and pay a voluntary fee to Kiva in order to loan money. And you thought Google had a great business model—wow, as Wayne and Garth said, "We're not worthy."

4. "Bank" on unproven people. What would the ideal background be of the founder of Kiva? Investment banker from Goldman, Sachs? Vice president of the World Bank? Vice president of the Peace Corp? Vice president of the Rockefeller Foundation? Partner at McKinsey? How about temporary administrative assistant at the Stanford Business School? Because that's how Jessica started her quest. The spark that lit the fire was a speech by Muhammed Yunus, founder of the Grameen Bank and Nobel Peace Prize winner.

5. Focus on free marketing. Kiva launched in 2005 with seven businesses in Uganda. The first "marketing" was sending out an email to the wedding invitation list of Jessica and Matt. All seven businesses were funded in a weekend. Then the Daily Kos picked up their story from a hacked together press release. Then PBS's Frontline covered the organization and loan volume went from $3,000 to $30,000 over night. No road show. No Demo. No TechCrunch 40.

6. Ignore the naysayers. The Flannerys got a lot of advice that you can't send money around the Internet without government approval; that Kiva couldn't scale beyond a few African villages; that a non-profit couldn't offer an investment product; and that it would violate SEC regulations as well as the Patriot Act. Besides this, Kiva was a no-brainer.

Here are some p2p funding companies making wave around the globe.

Kiva. Kiva is a nonprofit, p2p-lending site that facilitates loans between lenders and extremely low-income entrepreneurs in developing countries. Lenders can find the business and entrepreneur they want to lend to based on region, business type, risk level, etc. So far, there are plenty potential entreperneurs registered with Kiva. Click here for an interesting article by Guy Kawasaki about Kiva

Lending Club. One of the biggest p2p funding company, in term of the amount of money it have loan out so far is the Lending Club. The site uses the Facebook application platform soley to connect lenders with borrowers, due in part to Facebook's viral nature and the fact that friends trust lending to other friends.

Prosper. Just like the other p2p funding company, prosper seem to be based on the similar concept as the others. Prospective lenders set their minimum interest rate and bid in increments of $50 to $25,000 on loan listings they select.

Zopa. Zopa is the only company in this group that is not based in the US. Instead, it is based in London. Zopa is a P2P social money lending service that allows lenders and borrowers to deal directly with one another, cutting out the banks who act as middlemen. So far, the company has received public acclaim as well, having been awarded CNET Technology Awards' 2006 Internet Innovation of the Year, the 2007 Webby Award for Best Banking/Bill-Paying Website, and the Banker 2007 Award for Best Internet Project. by syed